ANALYSIS OF THE MOVEMENT OF FLUCTUATIONS AND TRENDS OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN THE REPUBLIC OF NORTH MACEDONIA AND FORECASTS

Abstract

In this paper, an analysis will be made of the movement of fluctuations and trends in the gross domestic product, in the period from 2000 to 2024 by quarter with current prices expressed in millions of denars in North Macedonia, using time series. The analysis will be done using the Python program. In the end, with the help of the previously prepared program and model, a prediction is made for the movement of trends and fluctuations in GDP in the period from 2024 to 2028.